August 24, 2007 8:06AM
President Huckabee?

Trends may favor the Arkansas governor.


Stan Guthrie

In an opinion piece this week in National Review Online, S.T. Karnick suggests that two trends may help long-shot Republican presidential candidate Mike Huckabee actually win the presidency. Huckabee placed second in the recent Iowa straw poll despite barely registering a national blip in the race against better-known and better-financed candidates such as Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney.

The first trend, Karnick states, is that governors usually win the presidency, while senators (most of the other candidates) usually do not:

The reasons governors beat national politicians are probably fairly simple. They have accomplishments they can cite, have served as CEO of a large government organization (as the U.S. presidency is), and, most importantly, they don’t have a voting record on important and controversial national issues.

Senators, by contrast, don’t have the individual political-administrative accomplishments to which to point, have records dotted with controversial and polarizing votes, and typically have made a lot of enemies on the national level.

This does not bode well for the Democratic triumvirate, each of whom serve or served in the Senate. But of course several of Huckabee's Republican opponents have executive experience. Romney ran Massachusetts as governor, Giuliani ran Gotham as mayor. But Karnick says the hugely important evangelical vote is unlikely to coalesce around either of these two. Giuliani has character problems, while many Bible-believing Christians distrust Romney's Mormon faith (and perhaps his recent reversal on abortion?).

That's where Karnick's second reason comes in. Huckabee is a former Baptist minister, able to connect with evangelicals in a way the other candidates cannot:

A former Baptist minister who served two terms as governor of Arkansas, a state long controlled by Democrats, where he nonetheless enjoyed high approval ratings, Huckabee is hardly more obscure than Bill Clinton was in 1991 (unless you think Clinton’s tenure as leader of the National Governor’s Association made him world-famous). His appeal to evangelicals is a given.

So can Mike Huchabee become a viable presidential candidate and perhaps even steal the Republican nomination? It's an interesting argument. Stranger things have happened, I suppose. No one gave Clinton any hope against Bush I, after all.

Posted by Stan Guthrie on August 24, 2007 8:06AM

Comments

I most definitely think that Mike Huckabee can be the next President of The United States. He radiates the one thing that the USA needs right now and that is HOPE!! Mike Huckabee is a uniter, he can bring together this deeply divided country. I am can list a thousand reasons why he will be President.

Posted by: Gil at August 24, 2007

Christian's should rally around Mike Huckabee and not because he is a baptist minister, but because he has been a Consistent conservative who has stood up for Life, Traditional Marriage, plans to abolish the IRS and will lead our country in an optimistic direction.
I plan on voting for Mike Huckabee and Christian Evangelicals should seriously take a look at him too. They should also contribute as much as they can to his campaign. Lack of cash is the only thing keeping him from the Whitehouse. You can visit his website at www.mikehuckabee.com

Thanks, Mike

P.S. It is Mike's Birthday today go to his site and wish him a happy birthday.

Posted by: Mike at August 24, 2007

Yet another white male Southern evangelical christian, ... hasn't 8 years of that been enough for the country ?? the rest of us are sick and tired of it frankly ...

Posted by: Diocletian at August 24, 2007

I do think Huckabee can win the general election. Here's why.

While Huckabee is white and he is an ordained minister, his conservativism is actually disarming. He's friendly, and he speaks on many of the issues that excite liberals. He has a genuine across the aisle appeal.

Thanks for the post.

Oh, and Happy Birthday to Mike.

Posted by: Bob Hayton at August 24, 2007

Yet another white male Southern evangelical christian, ... hasn't 8 years of that been enough for the country ?? the rest of us are sick and tired of it frankly ...Posted by: Mike at August 24, 2007

Ok Mike...Please allow my comments (I do not hate you for your statement, but let me perhaps "turn the page" for you)...
1. Would you prefer a "(you supply the color) female northern athiest satan worshipper?"
2. Please explain how George Bush being as you described above affected you personally in an adverse manner?
3. How do you know all about "the rest of us?"
4. What is your alternative if not included in #1 above?
5. Am I off the mark when I assume you are an athiest, and if so, why do you bother looking at this site? This site is for Christian people who love the Lord, and actually love you as Christ loved us, and gave Himself for you and me?

Finally, please forgive us as Christians for allowing things to get so bad that you feel the way you do. If Christians had lived anywhere near what is required of us, there would be more like you who are actually crying out for Him, who loves you and died on a cruel cross paying the penalty for you sins and mine.

Posted by: Gilbert Daniel at August 24, 2007

Bill Clinton was also a white, male Southern Baptist...so I take it you were sick of him, as well? P.S. George Bush is from Texas, which is Western, not Southern.

Posted by: BSR at August 24, 2007

I think Huckabee would be a brilliant choice for President, and would finally give Christians a true voice in the White House. He hasn't allowed himself to get polarized by the two "typical" issue: abortion and gay marriage. While those issues are important, he also addresses, with the same level of importance, many other issues that are important to Christians: education, the environment, poverty, etc.

I hope that all Christians will rally behind Mike Huckabee. He's the only candidate that isn't playing dirty politics, or pandering to a specific group to get himself elected. He's the real deal!

Posted by: Chris Slusser at August 24, 2007

Huckabee is a sizist, full of hatred towards fat people. He thinks that because he was able to loose weight(by telling his government-employee cook/chef to start serving him more fish, bought with taxpayer dollars, etc,) he now has THE ANSWER. He uses unsubstantiated stats to "prove" his point about the so-called "obesity epidemic" and his quest to get kids to loose weight in his state has failed miserably. This is what you want as a president? And besides all that, "President Huckabee"??? How can anyone take that name seriously?
Not here in New York!

Posted by: Pamela P. at August 24, 2007

Mike Huckabee would be a good cabinet choice for faith based initiatives under Bush. Mikes record on raising taxes and spending show he has no fiscal discipline and is no true Republican or Conservative. Huckabee is another example of Clintonian feel good politics. Ignore the facts and data and go with the emotion! Sorry but I will vote based on the facts. Mitt Romney has by far a true Conservative record regardless of what the left sais about his god feraing religion. Mitt Romney closed a 3 billion dollar gap in the State Budget and reformed healthcare. My choice is for Mitt Romney!

Posted by: John S. Maine at August 25, 2007

John Maine,
You've been duped by a Club for Growth analysis that has been repeated in some corners that is biased and improperly attempting to make it seem Mike Huckabee is not the extreme fiscal conservative he truly is. Please go to http://huckamania.wordpress.com/2007/08/17/club-for-growth-of-government/

where the facts and errors and bias about the Club for Growth's hit job on Huckabee is exposed. The Club for Growth is under new leadership from its days under Stephen Moore, and is not to be trusted on their analysis. The Club for Growth supports more establishment liberal Republicans (esp. on social issues). There are several misleading and outright false claims the Club for Growth has put out in advertising against Huckabee to avoid a true social conservative from getting elected who would eliminate some corporate welfare supported by government and big money rich GOP friends of the Club for Growth.

Huckabee, despite being in a traditionally strongly Democratic state, "Governor Huckabee has a consistent record as a fiscal conservative. While Governor, he doubled the state’s standard deduction and the child care tax credit. Some taxes he eliminated altogether, such as the marriage penalty and the capital gains tax on the sale of a home. He reduced the capital gains tax for both businesses and individuals. He indexed the income tax to protect people from paying higher taxes because of “bracket creep.” He left the state with almost $1 billion in surplus, setting the stage for further tax reductions. He cut welfare rolls by almost fifty percent, while balancing the state budget every year of his terms."

Posted by: Steve Prost at August 25, 2007

Rather than focusing on any of Huckabee's accomplishment, I think a more clever approach would be to demonize opponents. Spread messages of hate towards Clinton and Obama--don't give them any charity!

If it were me, I'd rather vote for a President with low SAT scores, yet with a free pass to the Ivy-Leagues who has a history of alcoholism, drug use, and a DUI. Since Hillary and Obama don't fulfill this criteria, I say we re-elect Bush.

Posted by: steve pifler at August 25, 2007

Glibert Daniel: thanks for the satirical comments. Sometimes Christianity looks as dumb and reactionary as your quotes. Thanks for the levity--it was funny reading such lunacy! Ha, I loved your caricature of some uneducated bumpkin KKK fundamentalist. Keep up the sarcasm--there really are crazy right winger's who would spew that tripe--we need to guard against it as a church. Your correction is much-welcomed to this board.

Posted by: holier than thou at August 25, 2007

I come to this discussion with a slightly different perspective than most. I have known Mike Huckabee for over 15 years and worked on the Governor's staff for almost 5. As someone else mentioned, I could have an enormous list for why he is qualified to be President.

But in these very uncertain and dangerous times only one is necessary. I trust him with my family's life.

Posted by: Larry at August 26, 2007

Gov. Huckabee would be a perfect President. I cannot understand why Christians are not rallying around him. I know many Christians who are opting for Sam Brownback but I say look beyond the words and look at behavior. Sam Brownback has already engaged himself in smear campaigns against Gov. Huckabee and Mitt Romney. Sam Brownback may talk like a Christian but his behavior speaks otherwise. Gov. Huckabee hasn't said a bad word about any other candidate, he is displaying a true Christian character. Gov. Huckabee is a Christian, has proven leadership skills being Governor of Arkansas for 10 1/2 years, his character is solid and unwaivering, he is a man of deep faith. All Christians should be supporting Gov. Huckabee, he is the only candidate that actually has a shot at beating Hillary or Obama.
Brownback cannot win the nomination so supporting him is like wasting your time and money.If Sam Brownback truly had a passion for the rights of the unborn he would bow out of the race and support Gov. Huckabee, because he can win....

Posted by: Jennifer at August 26, 2007

Remove the Christian aspect from the equation for a moment and lets measure experience.
1. Mike Huckabee has more executive leadership experience than any other Republican candidate.
a. Mitt Romney, Governor for only 1 term.
b. Rudy Guiliani, mayor
c. John McCain, senator
d. Sam Brownback, senator
e. Ron Paul, congressman
F. Mike Huckabee, Governor of Arkansas for 10 1/2 years

A President should always be a Governor, Governor have the experience of running something. Senators vote, they are Washingtonized, not in touch with the America people and have never run anything. We certainly do not want them to have on the job training at this critical time in our history. Congressman well they have a nerve even running at all..

Mike Huckabee is the ONLY candidate with the proper resume to be President. Now lets add Christianity back into the equation. Mike Huckabee is a devout Christian...Perfect if you ask me.

Posted by: Huckabee in 2008 at August 26, 2007

Huckabee's position on Iraq is identical to George Bush - for this reason alone, I, as a christian, can not support him.

Posted by: John at August 26, 2007

Please vote for Jesus today at this site that is asking Who do you claim to be God? Jesus, Buddah, Allah, etc. You can vote on this today at http://www.pollicious.com

Posted by: JengoPop at August 26, 2007

As a christian, the only one I can support is Ron Paul. His statement of faith can be found at: http://www.covenantnews.com/ronpaul070721.htm

He is also the ONLY republican candidate against the war, and the only candidate that wants to significantly reduce the size of the federal government and return power back the the states, where it was originally indended to be. Huckabee wants to eliminate the IRS and replace it with another tax. Ron Paul wants to replace it with NOTHING.

Even though the main stream media is not reporting much on him, take a look at the polls so far at:
http://ok4ronpaul.ashlux.com/wiki/index.php?title=2008_Presidential_GOP_straw_poll_results
they tell a different story.

I agree we are at a crossroads. American needs a candidate that will:

. Bring our troops home from Iraq and start no new undeclared wars.
. Normalize relations with countries around the world.
. Protect our civil liberties against the “Patriot Act” and all unconstitutional executive orders and laws.
. Encourage prosperity with financial reforms that benefit all Americans.
. End corporate welfare for “Big Oil” and “Big Pharma”.
. Stand up to the WTO and multinational corporate lobbyists.
. Secure our borders and make sure that our imports are safe.
. End the war on alternative healthcare and allow for medical privacy.
. Restore trust and integrity to the Presidency of the United States.

God Bless,

Mark

Posted by: Mark at August 26, 2007

Huckabee really stood out in the last debate when he talked about taxes. Until then I didn't know who he was. He sparked my interest so I looked him up on youtube. To me, Mike Huckabee seems like a diluted version of Ron Paul. I really think anything you could possibly like about Huckabee you can get more of from Ron Paul. Just check it out for yourself. Look up Ron Paul.

Posted by: Jeremy at August 27, 2007

Mark and Jeremy, I am with you on Ron Paul! He is a man of integrity and faith. I may not agree with all his policy positions, but I know he is straightforward real person.

One thing, I think we should all remember though. Until the american people wake up and demand their government start actually representing the people's interest and not corporate interests, it really doesn't matter who is in the White House, republican or democrat. The days of Christians voting for someone because he says he's against abortion and shares their faith should be over. We need to wake up and demand a return to democracy in America. Frankly, it's just about gone and we don't even know it.

Posted by: Johnw at August 27, 2007

Your point about governors having an easier time getting elected president than senators or representatives is certainly true for typical politicians. It is hard to run from your congressional voting record and claim to be something that you are not. Ron Paul, on the other hand, has a consistent 20 year record in the House that shows that he is who he claims to be. It is time we elect a man of integrity.

Posted by: Keith at August 27, 2007

While Mike is okay, I agree with Keith (above) that Ron Paul would be the best choice for America, and would also be able to win over the Democrats. Specifically, Ron Paul is a Christian who believes also in the sovereignty of America. He is against the World Trade Organization, the NAFTA highway, the North American Union, and big government spending. He is not a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. He has been married to the same woman for 50 years, has served in the Air Force and is a man of his word.

Ron Paul has attracted supporters from every political persuasion: Republican, Democrat, Libertarian, and Independent. The reason is that his message of FREEDOM for WE, THE PEOPLE resonates with the average tax-paying American.

For me, it's Ron Paul all the way.

www.ronpaul2008.com

Posted by: Tara at August 27, 2007

After four years, I am still waiting for a pro-Bush Christian to tell me how the Iraq War and the grandizing of the military is Christ-like.

How can you be on the right side of the abortion debate but be so two-faced on the war debate? How can anyone who calls themself a Christian support a policy that has led to the deaths of a quarter million people and displaced two million people? Because they're muslim they don't count?

I was intrigued by Huckabee because he was called a Washington outsider. However, after looking at his website he seems to have copied and pasted most of the drivel from the neo-conservative line.

Remember, just because you're against the war does not make you a liberal!

Posted by: J.P. at August 27, 2007

I just learned about Ron Paul after a friend of mine told me he would work to OVERTURN Roe vs Wade !!!

Also, Bush was FOR the war, and Ron is Against Iraq, but that doesn't mean you can't be a Republican if you are not Pro-War. Ron is for the Christian principle of "Just War" which I've been researching. No wonder the USA isn't held in the same respect as it once was: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Just_War

I look forward to the day when our Gov't doesn't have to try and enforce "morality" on the people as that will never work(just look at our nation now). We must set an example and lead on true principles which our nation was founded on.

Ron Paul has my vote and many of the leaders in my Church are leaning for him as well. (I'm an Evangelical Christian by the way)

Posted by: Frank at August 27, 2007

Huckabee seems like a very compassionate and genuine man; but as a Christian I simply cannot support a man who will continue to further an unjust war. I do, however, appreciate his stance against abortion.

I think he's a really good person with flawed positions on many issues; mainly, the Patriot Act, immigration, and many aspects of his stance on foreign policy.

I'm not quite sure who I'm going to vote for yet. Hopefully a candidate outside the "top-tier" will emerge to challenge Giuliani and Thompson, who do not represent my conservative values.

Posted by: Kevin at August 27, 2007

I see that cutting taxes continues to be seen as a "Christian" position, alongside opposition to abortion, etc. Wake up or grow up, folks. In the words of John Kenneth Galbraith, "the modern conservative is engaged in one of the oldest exercises in moral philosophy: the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness."

My guess is the Ron Paul folks are here in full force today due to a link to this blog sent out over a campaign listserve. I just wish they would speak in their own words rather than copying and pasting the campaign's "letters to the editor" template.

Posted by: Patrick at August 27, 2007

Actually, Patrick -I am on no such Ron Paul list but am a regular CT reader, here on my own, so to speak. It really is difficult for me as a Christian to support a candidate who believes the Iraq war is a Just War (when did our definition of "Just War" evolve to include preemptive strikes based on faulty intel?) That is why I am for Ron Paul to win the 2008 election. That said, if Paul doesn't receive the Rep. nomination, I would be much, much more comfortable supporting Huckabee than any of the other candidates, especially the front-runners!

-Chase

Posted by: Chase Thompson at August 27, 2007

I think he is a winner and will make a good President. That is why I am supporting him. In fact as a ARoman Catholic I find him very close to all facets of my Catholicsim. Including many of the concerns of the Catholic Social ethic.

Posted by: Jh at August 27, 2007

Chase, you and I are on the same page regarding the war in Iraq, and I applaud Ron Paul for his position on that issue. But there are other candidates who, like Paul, opposed the war from the start (such as Barack Obama, Dennis Kucinich and Bill Richardson) and some who have come around (such as Chris Dodd and John Edwards). No need to abolish public services for the poor or to deregulate ourselves into environmental catastrophe (as Paul would do) just to put an end to the war.

Posted by: Patrick at August 29, 2007

Mike Huckabee uses God to get votes the same way he uses God to make money-through paid ministry! At least Mitt Romney doesn't have to use religious comments constantly in order to get votes. What do we really know about Huckabee? Is he married? I've never seen a woman who would be a first lady. We know he is or was a Baptist minister but can he run the country? We will never know because he is too busy using religious comments constantly to try to get votes. What manipulation! He slams Mitt Romney constantly with his little inuendos and the next minute he is saying what a Christian he is? God help us if he becomes president! Maybe he will have us all forgive the terrorists the same way he got all those criminals out of jail including the one who killed that poor womans daughter. He will say "I had nothing to do with that person getting out of jail then say " that could have been your son in jail would you want him to have another chance?" Make up your mind Mike and keep saying how doshonest Mitt is. At least Mitt says when he has changed his mind and admits when he was wrong-that is a Christian to me.

Posted by: Debbie at December 28, 2007

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