Shrinking numbers may get even smaller – and that’s good news for many Baptists.
I was wrong. The election of Johnny Hunt as president of the Southern Baptist Convention did not actually generate much analysis in the Baptist blogosphere. Instead, almost all the discussion is about a resolution on church membership numbers.
Numbers were a key theme of the meeting this year, and none were good news:
- 9,500: Expected number of “messengers” (delegates) at the convention.
- 7,200: Actual number of messengers.
- 419,342: Baptisms in Southern Baptist churches in 1999.
- 345,941: Baptisms in 2007.
- 5.5%: Drop in baptisms between 2007 and 2006.
- 3: The number of consecutive years in which baptism numbers have dropped in the SBC.
- 22: Number of years that outgoing president Frank Page says it will take, given current trends, for the SBC to lose half its churches (from about 44,000 to 20,000).
- 39,326: Drop in membership Southern Baptist Convention between 2006 and 2007.
- 10: Years since the last drop in membership.
- 2: Number of years SBC membership has declined since 1926.
- 16,266,920: Members in 2007.
- 6,148,868: Southern Baptist members who in 2007 attended a primary worship service of their church in a typical week.
Those final two statistics really drove the resolution “On Regenerate Church Membership and Church Member Restoration.”
The resolution, which calls for churches to “maintain accurate membership rolls” and exercise church discipline “even if such efforts result in the reduction in the number of members that are reported,” was submitted in two previous years but failed in both cases.
Critics had earlier argued that purging the membership rolls could hurt evangelism — after all, if there are “unregenerate” people in the pews, they’re the ones who most need to hear the gospel. Other critics complained that such a resolution would violate the fundamental Baptist value of the autonomy of local churches.
But this year the convention passed the resolution by an overwhelming margin.
There was some debate over an amendment to the resolution calling for churches “to repent of the failure among us to live up to our professed commitment to regenerate church membership.” The resolutions committee had opposed such wording.
"We felt it was not proper to ask our entire convention to repent when there are many godly, conscientious pastors … that are actually exercising this stewardship from the Lord of their flocks and of their fellowships,” committee chairman Darrell Orman explained.
But Tom Ascol, the main force behind the resolution, said every one needed to repent.
"If we need to repent over anything in the Southern Baptist Convention, it is true that we need to repent over how we have failed in maintaining biblical standards in the membership of our churches,” he said.
After all, pastors reporting only “regenerate” membership probably still refer to the Southern Baptist Convention as having 16.2 million members, even though those pastors probably know that number is inflated.
Union University president of David Dockery, whose speech at the convention is largely credited with giving the resolution a boost, told The Tennessean that the SBC would likely lose a million members once the membership rolls were cleaned up.
But the number may be much higher than that. Millions of members (about 7 million, according to one site) are “non-resident,” meaning they do not live near the church that calls them a member. Millions more are completely inactive, and still more attend only occasionally.
Convention speakers repeatedly spoke of that phenomenon as a scandal. "We are not even winning our own sons and daughters like we should," North Carolina’s Al Gilbert said in his Wednesday sermon. “We have incredible numbers of people on our rolls that are inactive and probably lost.”
To see the looming battle in SBC churches, put those two sentences together. Saying its time to purge the rolls of inactive members or of those who have moved away is one thing. But actually taking Bobby Smith’s name off after he moves away for college and stops attending church might not be welcome news to Bobby’s parents.
(Another potential battle is financial: Distribution of Cooperative Program funds are partly based on churches’ membership numbers. Rigorous accuracy may be costly.)
Johnny Hunt, the new president of the Southern Baptist Convention, supported the resolution but said he was wary of its implementation. “There are two ways to deal with it,” he told The Tennessean:
Some would say, “Clean up the rolls. If they're not going to come, take them off.” And then what you have to deal with is we are living in a generation [with different views on commitments]. I probably minister to 10,000 people every 30 days; they're just not there every week. USA Today did a story not long ago and a person said if they go once a month, they feel they're active. I would not say they are, but I have to give them credit that in their heart, that's where they feel they are. I would like to see them more committed, but we work on that. We try to call them; we try to write those who are not coming. But I think what we are saying with regenerate church membership is we need to do a better job, and who would not agree? …
We have to be very careful. If you try to take this to the lowest common denominator, before too long, you'll find the pastors and the church leadership to try to separate the sheep from the goats, and only Jesus and the angels he assigned can do that.
The problem, says Dockery, is that churches are letting many goats think they’re sheep: “One thing worse than people being lost in their sins is lost people who think they are saved because their names are on a church roll.”
The resolution is nonbinding. Churches can keep reporting their membership numbers as they always have. But the gauntlet has been thrown. Answering the challenge won’t be easy. A commenter on Ascol’s blog notes the problem at one church: “[T]he constitution requires a 75 percent vote to remove someone from the roll (outside of death or transfer to another church) and only 50 percent-plus-one to remove a pastor."
(Note: An earlier version of this blog post indicated that the resolution passed "nearly unanimously." Several observers have since said it passed overwhelmingly, but that there were many votes against it.)
Posted by Ted Olsen on June 12, 2008 11:30AM
Comments
The passage of the membership resolution is a big step forward. This resolution probably wouldn't have passed several years ago. That said, not much will come of it over the next few years.
Given the core distinctive of local church autonomy that Baptists (specifically Southern Baptist) hold it will be very difficult to get the membership roles purged. What might be best would be for the executive committee to hire a group of young seminarians during a summer, equip them with training and materials and send them out on an intentional denominational census.
One of the key issues in understanding the numbers is that many churches don't contribute accurate, or any, numbers to the denominational annual report. I believe several leaders have mentioned this as a further troublesome spot. Of course these churches would not stave off the looming darkness, but it does add to the problems.
As for the presidency of the SBC, most bloggers have realized that there is little the actual President of the SBC can and will do to reconfigure or stir up the convention during their term. The actions that matter take place in Nashville and are led by the Executive Committee...the presidency of this convention seems to be nothing more than figurehead these days.
Posted by: Robert Angison at June 12, 2008
IF THE POPES IN NASHVILL WOULD GET OUT THE WAY
AND LET THE HOLY SPIRIT WORK
IT IS THE CHURCH NOT A CHURCH (OR SBC)
Posted by: BILL at June 12, 2008
We all need to grow down. Years ago a wise man preached that "the most miiserable people in hell were not going to be the reprpbates and prostitutes, the most miserable people in hell would be the people who sat in church every week and still did not give their lives to Jesus." We are guilty of a ,dare I say, unforgiveable sin when we fail to exercise church dicipline and allow unsaved people to think they are saved. I have known too many church deacons and elders who are working their way to heaven or are leading double lives that would make a swine run from the stigh. Jesus is the narrow gate it is time we knew that again in the church.
Posted by: rick at June 12, 2008
The easiest and simplest solution would be for the SBC to focus on attendance numbers (about 6 million currently) rather than membership numbers (about 16 million). I am not nor have I ever been a Baptist, and I cannot understand why they have ever had the category of "non-resident member." I assume it is so they can still get money from them.
Posted by: ex-preacher at June 12, 2008
So why aren't Southern Baptists talking about Johnny Hunt's diploma mill degrees?
They keep this up, there won't be Southern Baptists to count.
I don't think members are aware their new president two doctorates are from two mills.
I honestly don't get this - why is it okay to lie about academic credentials?
I would think SBC with accredited and earned degrees would not be pleased, let alone the message Mr. Hunt is sending to the membership and the rest of us.
We aren't talking honourary, there is nothing honourable about this.
Posted by: Bene Diction at June 13, 2008
Yes indeed, let's look at the academic credentials of the new SBC president. From all information available, he has some bogus degrees.
Posted by: Bill at June 13, 2008
Cleaning up the church roll makes good sense. I think a letter to a non-active church members explaining the spiritual benefits of church membership and the consequences of not being under the spiritual protections will either wake people up or have no affect.
The Church of the Lord Jesus Christ should never be treated like membership of a country club and membership within a church as both benefits and responsibilities.
Posted by: Mark at June 13, 2008
I was once an ordained Southern baptist minister. After seminary I became Presbyterian. One of the issues that moved me the Presbyterian direction was the baptist idea of using regeneracy as an identifiable qualifier. For example, the idea of cleaning up church membership roles based on regeneracy is impossible. Regeneracy cannot be seen with certainty. And if we cannot know it with certainty, how can we pretend to cull people on account of it?
The most we can do is evaluate members according to the terms of God's covenant, which is what the Presbyterian church does (though not perfectly, of course). "Is this person acting in accordance with covenant faithfulness?" is the question to ask, not "Is this person regenerate?"
Posted by: M. Jay Bennett at June 13, 2008
As one of the authors and sponsors of the Resolution on Regenerate Church Membership that was the basis of the final resolution, I find that this blog entry is partially accurate and partially inaccurate.
The largest misperception perpetuated herein is the idea that "regenerate church membership" is primarily a statistical concept. It is not primarily a statistical concept; it is primarily a theological and ecclesiological concept. We would need to sharpen our commitment to the historic Baptist doctrine of regenerate church membership even if we had no statistical system in place and if no SBC church ever reported anything to anyone. Regenerate church membership is merely the concept that local churches ought to pursue means to ensure that only those who claim to be born-again Christians and give evidence of such in their lives are allowed to be members of the local church.
The statistical phenomenon certainly overlaps somewhat with this theological concept, but they are not the same thing.
Posted by: Bart Barber at June 13, 2008
It's a scandal when an evangelical denomination claims to have 16 million members but only 6 million can be found in the church. I think it was Paige Patterson who said even the FBI couldn't find the majority of members the SBC claims!
.
Posted by: Glenn at June 13, 2008
What about the young man, who goes away to college. A Christian college. Each summer he goes on a foreign missions trip, and then when he graduates enrolls in seminary.
He graduates from seminary hoping to be ordained by his home church where he had been saved when he was ten years old.
Then he finds out he's not eligible for ordination since he hasn't been a member for the past 8 years.
Posted by: Pastor Art at June 13, 2008
You stated, "Another potential battle is financial: Distribution of Cooperative Program funds are partly based on churches’ membership numbers. Rigorous accuracy may be costly."
Maybe I'm confused, but how are membership numbers tied to distribution of CP funds? Churches contribute to the CP fund, and those funds are then used for Convention-wide ministries (missions, seminaries, ERLC). Churches don't receive financial support from the CP, they support it. Am I wrong? Therefore, this "potential battle" you mention may not be relevant to your argument.
Posted by: James at June 14, 2008
I'm confused about your parenthetical statement: "Another potential battle is financial: Distribution of Cooperative Program funds are partly based on churches’ membership numbers. Rigorous accuracy may be costly." I'm assuming this is somehow related to distribution of funds to states? Individual churches do not receive money FROM the cooperative program, the GIVE to it.
Posted by: Brett at June 14, 2008
The connection between the CP and regenerate church membership is not on a local church level but a bureaucratic level (that is, state conventions and local associations). The CP is allocated to various conventions and associations based on the findings in the annual church profile (ACP). When the numbers are up, more money is allocated. When numbers are down, the pendulum swings against them. Therefore, when churches seek to have a more meaningful and accurate membership, the bloated or inflated aspect will be removed, thus resulting in fewer numbers reported to the convention. The numbers indeed will be more accurate, but such accuracy comes with a price for those who live in the bureaucracy.
That is one of the reasons why the amendment for "denominational servants" (i.e., those in the bureaucracy) to encourage churches who pursue integrity in church membership is so important. While Southern Baptist often trumpet the autonomy of the local churches, we often don't act like it, especially when money is involved.
Posted by: Timmy Brister at June 14, 2008
jay,
"I was once an ordained Southern baptist minister. After seminary I became Presbyterian. One of the issues that moved me the Presbyterian direction was the baptist idea of using regeneracy as an identifiable qualifier."
That is preferable to baptizing infants who cannot show any signs of being redeemed merely based on parentage. In the Bible those who repented were baptized. That is the command (Matt 28) and the example, and that should direct our doctrines.
Posted by: Arthur Sido at June 14, 2008
Arthur,
Thank you for engaging my comment. I would be happy to discuss this issue with you further, but in order to avoid hijacking the comments section under this post with a discussion on infant baptism please see the links below.
Here is a link to what I've posted on the sacrament of baptism over the last couple years. See especially this post in which I comment on John Piper's arguments against infant baptism point-by-point.
Feel free to comment under any of my posts. Again, I would be happy to discuss the sacrament of baptism with you.
Posted by: M. Jay Bennett at June 16, 2008
SBC Churches give to the Cooperative Program; they do not receive from it. Also, each church decides on their own what to give. It is not based on membership. Most give an amount based on a percentage of general budget receipts. Nashville, and any state convention they may be part of has no say in what each SBC church gives.
I am a SBC Baptist minister, in a church that decides our contribution through the annual budget process. The congregation votes on it each year. It is a gift we like to give and we try to increase it each year.
Posted by: Lee Rickaway at June 16, 2008
I have a comment on this. We left our church of 6 + years due to conflict. I'm not sure if it was right or wrong. We started attending a new southern baptist church.
Our old church took us off of their rolls immediately. 2 of my children still attend there and want to be listed in the directory. When I questioned why we were removed, I was told that it was "policy" because we were going somewhere else. We haven't transferred our membership yet.
How do they know we are attending elsewhere? My husband was a deacon in the past at a different church and it seems like if this one wants to evangelize, they ought to leave us on the rolls.
It has been very hurtful.
I could go on and on, but throughout this experience, God has certainly taught me how not to treat church members!
Please don't purge members from your rolls until you know for certain they will not be back.
Posted by: Karen at June 16, 2008
Arthur,
Thanks for taking the time to engage my comment. I would enjoy discussing the sacrament with you further. I invite you to click my name and follow the link to my blog. Then click the "baptism" tag. There you will find all I've written on baptism over the last couple of years. Included is a point-by-point assessment of John Piper's arguments against infant baptism. Please feel free to comment with any further questions there.
Thanks
Posted by: M. Jay Bennett at June 16, 2008
Southern Baptist membership is declining. Maybe people are finally starting to realize the nonsense that is Christian Fundamentalism.
Posted by: Paul at June 20, 2008
I must confess that I am at a loss as to why this business of membership is such a big issue.
A person is either born again or they are not. Membership in a (Baptist) church is based on one being born again. Therefore one ought not to be regarded as a member of a (Baptist) church if one does not or cannot confess to being born again. What is so difficult about that?
If I want to join the millionaire's club I must have a million dollars. If I do not, I cannot quarrel with the club for not accepting me. Nor can I complain if after joining I become bankrupt an I am kicked out.
At some Baptist churches I know attendance once monthly is considered acceptable, at others once every three months. However, prolonged absence must be justified or one is considered a member out of fellowship in the first instance and may eventually be struck from the record.
What all this is saying is that one cannot simply say I am a member while one is either mainly absent or inactive without some justification. Keeping people's name on a list simply for numerical value strikes me as being both useless and dishonest.
Posted by: Steve Skeete at June 20, 2008
Send out a housekeeping letter to everyone in your Church listing the requirements for Church membership and explain that you are simply updating the Church role. In the same letter request that anyone that wishes to be removed from the Church role to please respond to the letter with that decision. It might be wise to let the regular attendees know that this campaign will be launched on a given date and everyone, including the Pastor, will be receiving the letter. This voluntary reduction should cut down the Church roles significantly and allow you to handle case by case situations more effectively.
Posted by: TIMOTHY at June 23, 2008
One has to wonder. . .again and again. . .what does the lost world see when it looks at all of this meaningless bureaucracy. After Pentecost, when the believers were newly filled with the Holy Spirit, they had all things in common and spent their time praising God and living in His fullness. Their numbers were added to greatly. Sad that it's been so long since we could say the same.
Posted by: Jennifer at July 23, 2008
To TED OLSEN:
Can you verify that statement attributed to Frank Page that in 22 years, given current trends,that the SBC will lose half its churches (from 44,000 to 20,000) ??? When and where was that said? Can anyone? Feel free to e-mail me direct @ frankfears@everestkc.net.
TED OLSEN RESPONDS:
Here’s a source:
Half of SBC churches could die before 2030, president predicts (Associated Baptist Press)
Also check out Page’s book, The Incredible Shrinking Church.
Posted by: Frank at August 28, 2008
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